Paper published in European Economic Review
Michael Neugart and Johannes Rode (both TUD) have studied whether retrospective voting is related to voters' democratic experience. The authors compare the voting behavior in West Germany to the voting behavior in the formerly non-democratic East Germany after a disaster relief program addressing a flood in 2013. The analysis reveals a 0.9 percentage points increase in the vote share for the incumbent party in the flooded municipalities in the East compared to the West. Dividing the total costs of the disaster relief program by the votes swayed yields a cost per vote of approximately 11,380 euros.